Polymoney
How it works
Log In
Sign Up
Prediction markets
81 active markets
· category “AI”
How it works
How to trade
Claude 4.8 released by...?
May 31
99%
June 15
99%
2 more
$680K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
59 trading now
GPT-5.6 released by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$4.26M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
61 trading now
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
1450+
99%
1520+
2%
5 more
$508K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
57 trading now
GPT-5.6 released on...?
July 9
99%
July 14
99%
37 more
$1.01M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Anthropic
99%
Company A
99%
30 more
$194K
Vol.
Aug 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?
1490+
99%
1480+
99%
2 more
$37K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Next Claude Opus released by...?
July 31
99%
August 31
99%
4 more
$258K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by July 31
99%
July 30
4%
30 more
$299K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
44 trading now
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?
1480+
2%
1440+
2%
1 more
$65K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
40 trading now
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?
1470+
2%
1480+
2%
2 more
$25K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
38 trading now
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?
1440+
99%
1450+
99%
3 more
$78K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Next Claude Opus released on...?
July 27
55%
July 23
55%
10 more
$32K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
47 trading now
Markets
Search
Activity
More