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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
29%
chance
Yes
No
$1.48M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$86
64 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$1.90M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$93
60 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
49%
chance
Yes
No
$393K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
47 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
34%
5 more
$1.21M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
<50
99%
50-74
49%
3 more
$10K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
38 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
41%
chance
Yes
No
$58K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
50 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
99%
20-40
14%
3 more
$212K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
91%
December
26%
5 more
$84K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
43 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
31-33
43%
<25
39%
5 more
$8.8K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$58
42 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M
99%
300M
99%
4 more
$7.9K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
220-229
92%
<220
78%
4 more
$5.3K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
43 trading now
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